AI Match Insights

Birinci Dəstə Nov 05, 2025

Baku Sportinq

Home
VS
10:00

Cəbrayıl

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Baku Sportinq Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Cəbrayıl Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.60 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Baku Sportinq Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Baku Sportinq Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Baku Spor… vs Goy-Gol 0-2
Oct 22 Baku Spor… vs MOIK 0-0
Oct 17 Baku Spor… vs Safa Baku 1-2
Oct 02 Baku Spor… vs Zaqatala 1-1
Sep 25 Baku Spor… vs Şimal 4-1
Sep 18 Baku Spor… vs Şahdağ 2-3
Sep 13 Baku Spor… vs Difai Ağsu 2-2
Apr 24 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 4-0
Apr 10 Baku Spor… vs Qabala 6-1
Feb 20 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 0-1
Cəbrayıl Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 0-3
Oct 23 Cəbrayıl vs Şahdağ 3-1
Oct 16 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 4-1
Oct 03 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 4-0
Sep 24 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 3-0
Sep 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 1-3
Sep 11 Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala 1-0
May 16 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 1-1
Apr 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Apr 10 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Baku Sportinq to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baku Sportinq Power 0
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Baku Sportinq Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Cəbrayıl Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.