AI Match Insights

Birinci Dəstə Nov 05, 2025

Səbail FK

Home
VS
11:00

MOIK

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Səbail FK Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
MOIK Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Səbail FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
MOIK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Səbail FK Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Səbail FK vs Şamaxı 0-1
Oct 23 Səbail FK vs Safa Baku 2-2
Oct 15 Səbail FK vs Zaqatala 1-0
Oct 02 Səbail FK vs Şimal 0-0
Sep 24 Səbail FK vs Şahdağ 2-0
Sep 18 Səbail FK vs Difai Ağsu 1-2
Sep 12 Səbail FK vs Energetik 2-0
Dec 10 Səbail FK vs Qabala 1-3
Jan 24 Səbail FK vs Qabala 3-2
MOIK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 MOIK vs Neftchi B… 6-2
Oct 22 MOIK vs Baku Spor… 0-0
Oct 16 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 4-1
Oct 02 MOIK vs Safa Baku 4-1
Sep 25 MOIK vs Zaqatala 0-1
Sep 19 MOIK vs Şimal 1-1
Sep 11 MOIK vs Şahdağ 1-2
May 16 MOIK vs Energetik 1-3
May 02 MOIK vs Qabala 1-0
Apr 10 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MOIK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Səbail FK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Səbail FK Power 0
MOIK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Səbail FK Position

+3

Position Gap

6

MOIK Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.