AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Apr 18, 2024

Flamengo

Home
VS
00:30

São Paulo FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Flamengo Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
São Paulo FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.22 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Flamengo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
São Paulo FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Flamengo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-0
Mar 10 Flamengo vs Fluminense 0-2
Feb 25 Flamengo vs Fluminense 2-0
Feb 16 Flamengo vs Bangu 0-3
Feb 10 Flamengo vs Volta Red… 3-0
Feb 04 Flamengo vs Vasco DA … 0-0
Dec 07 Flamengo vs São Paulo… 1-0
Dec 03 Flamengo vs Cuiabá 2-1
Nov 29 Flamengo vs Atletico-… 0-3
Nov 26 Flamengo vs América M… 0-3
São Paulo FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 1-1
Feb 17 São Paulo… vs RB Bragan… 2-2
Feb 14 São Paulo… vs Santos 0-1
Feb 04 São Paulo… vs Palmeiras 0-0
Jan 30 São Paulo… vs Corinthia… 1-2
Jan 23 São Paulo… vs Mirassol 1-1
Dec 07 São Paulo… vs Flamengo 1-0
Dec 03 São Paulo… vs Atletico-… 2-1
Nov 29 São Paulo… vs Bahia 0-1
Nov 26 São Paulo… vs Cuiabá 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Flamengo in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2023 São Paulo FC 1 - 0 Flamengo Serie A
Sep 24, 2023 São Paulo FC 1 - 1 Flamengo Copa do Brasil
Sep 17, 2023 Flamengo 0 - 1 São Paulo FC Copa do Brasil
Aug 13, 2023 Flamengo 1 - 1 São Paulo FC Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Flamengo Power 0
São Paulo FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Flamengo Position

-9

Position Gap

4

São Paulo FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.