Serie A · Aug 04, 2024 00:30

São Paulo FC
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT

Flamengo
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
São Paulo FC Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
83%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-3 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 83%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITEFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 83% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
São Paulo FC Form WWWLD
UP
Flamengo Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS49%
Under 2.550%
São Paulo FC Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Flamengo Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
São Paulo FC
vs
1.85
Flamengo
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum36%
Standings85%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
São Paulo FC
+10
Gap
#15
Flamengo
WR 100% 4 pts WR 0% 1 pts
São Paulo FC 14.0%
Jul 30 São Pau… v Goiás 2-0
Jul 06 São Pau… v RB Brag… 2-0
Jun 23 São Pau… v Interna… 1-2
Jun 17 São Pau… v Palmeir… 1-5
Jun 16 São Pau… v Corinth… 2-2
Jun 13 São Pau… v Interna… 0-0
Jun 08 São Pau… v Santos 0-4
May 13 São Pau… v Flumine… 2-1
May 05 São Pau… v Vitoria 1-3
Apr 29 São Pau… v Palmeir… 0-0
Flamengo 20.0%
Jul 31 Flamengo v Palmeir… 2-0
Jul 04 Flamengo v Atletic… 2-4
Jun 23 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-1
Jun 02 Flamengo v Vasco D… 1-6
May 23 Flamengo v Amazonas 0-1
May 11 Flamengo v Corinth… 2-0
Apr 18 Flamengo v São Pau… 2-1
Mar 17 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-0
Mar 10 Flamengo v Flumine… 0-2
Feb 25 Flamengo v Flumine… 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 18, 2024 Flamengo 2-1 São Paulo FC
Dec 07, 2023 São Paulo FC 1-0 Flamengo
Sep 24, 2023 São Paulo FC 1-1 Flamengo
Sep 17, 2023 Flamengo 0-1 São Paulo FC
Aug 13, 2023 Flamengo 1-1 São Paulo FC
Key Factors
São Paulo FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Flamengo in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.