AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional May 17, 2025

Real Espana

Home
VS
23:15

CD Motagua

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Real Espana Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
CD Motagua Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.48 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Real Espana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 1-0
May 04 Real Espa… vs Olancho 1-0
Apr 27 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 1-1
Apr 21 Real Espa… vs Victoria 1-1
Apr 13 Real Espa… vs Lobos Upn… 2-1
Mar 30 Real Espa… vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Mar 06 Real Espa… vs Génesis 2-0
Mar 01 Real Espa… vs Olancho 0-3
Feb 23 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 2-0
Feb 16 Real Espa… vs Victoria 2-1
CD Motagua Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 15 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-0
Apr 27 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 1-1
Apr 20 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-2
Apr 13 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 5-1
Apr 08 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 2-1
Feb 23 CD Motagua vs Real Espa… 2-0
Feb 16 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 0-2
Feb 12 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 0-3
Dec 23 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 0-1
Dec 20 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CD Motagua in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 15, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Apr 27, 2025 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Feb 23, 2025 Real Espana 2 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Dec 15, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 0 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Dec 13, 2024 Real Espana 0 - 2 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Oct 06, 2024 CD Motagua 0 - 4 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Apr 11, 2024 CD Motagua 1 - 1 Real Espana Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Espana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Espana Power 0
CD Motagua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Real Espana Position

-1

Position Gap

2

CD Motagua Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.