League One · Aug 16, 2025 11:30

Brighton
PWR 36
0 - 0
FT

Port Vale
PWR 28
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Brighton to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense60
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack22
Defense58
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.4
Brighton Form LWWWW
STABLE
Port Vale Form WDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS56%
Under 2.548%
Brighton Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Port Vale Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Brighton
vs
1.47
Port Vale
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Brighton
+12
Gap
#23
Port Vale
WR 29% 102 pts WR 22% 64 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Brighton9126244195121102
Port Vale721616406011164
Brighton 16.0%
Aug 09 Brighton v Burnley 3-2
Aug 09 Brighton v VfL Wol… 2-0
Aug 02 Brighton v Mansfie… 2-1
May 25 Brighton v Tottenh… 1-4
May 19 Brighton v Liverpo… 3-2
May 10 Brighton v Wolves 0-2
May 04 Brighton v Newcast… 1-1
May 03 Brighton v Charlton 3-1
Apr 29 Brighton v Wigan 1-1
Apr 26 Brighton v West Br… 3-2
Port Vale 10.0%
Aug 12 Port Va… v Blackpo… 0-1
Aug 07 Port Va… v Cardiff 0-0
Aug 02 Port Va… v Rotherh… 2-1
Jul 12 Port Va… v Bath Ci… 1-5
May 03 Port Va… v Birming… 0-1
May 03 Port Va… v Birming… 0-1
Apr 26 Port Va… v AFC Wim… 0-2
Apr 26 Port Va… v AFC Wim… 0-2
Apr 21 Port Va… v Grimsby 2-2
Apr 21 Port Va… v Grimsby 2-2
Head-to-Head (8)
Jul 27, 2024 Brighton 2-0 Port Vale
Mar 23, 2024 Brighton 0-1 Port Vale
Nov 14, 2023 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Nov 04, 2023 Port Vale 0-0 Brighton
Sep 19, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Mar 18, 2023 Port Vale 2-3 Brighton
Aug 20, 2022 Brighton 0-2 Port Vale
Dec 04, 2021 Brighton 1-2 Port Vale
Key Factors
Brighton in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.