League One · Aug 16, 2025 14:00
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
1 - 1
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%)
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (12%)
3-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
0-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Bolton Form
DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS20%
Under 2.545%
Burnley Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Bolton Goals
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Burnleyvs
0.23
BoltonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Burnley-11
Gap#1
Bolton
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 45% 263 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
Burnley
12.0%
| Aug 13 | Burnley v Fleetwo… | 2-2 |
| Aug 12 | Burnley v Ipswich | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | Burnley v Brighton | 3-2 |
| Aug 09 | Burnley v Barnet | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Burnley v Lazio | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Burnley v Shrewsb… | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | Burnley v Plymouth | 1-3 |
| May 03 | Burnley v Chelsea | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Burnley v Reading… | 2-4 |
| May 03 | Burnley v Millwall | 3-1 |
Bolton
14.0%
| Aug 13 | Bolton v Sheffie… | 3-3 |
| Aug 12 | Bolton v Leeds U… | 4-0 |
| Aug 12 | Bolton v Coventry | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton v Middles… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton v Plymouth | 2-0 |
| Aug 09 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 0-2 |
| Aug 03 | Bolton v Stockpo… | 2-0 |
| Aug 01 | Bolton v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 1-0 |
| May 05 | Bolton v Maidenh… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 12, 2025 | Burnley | 4-1 | Bolton |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Burnley | 4-0 | Bolton |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Burnley | 0-0 | Bolton |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Bolton | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Bolton | 1-4 | Burnley |
| May 07, 2024 | Bolton | 2-3 | Burnley |
| May 03, 2024 | Burnley | 1-3 | Bolton |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Bolton | 1-3 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.