AI Match Insights
Serie A Nov 06, 2024
Botafogo
HomeVS
00:30
Vasco DA Gama
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
Draw
Vasco DA Gama Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.63 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (16%)
3-0 (12%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
Botafogo Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | Botafogo vs Amazonas | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Botafogo vs Remo | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Botafogo vs Gremio | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Botafogo vs Volta Red… | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | Botafogo vs São Berna… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Botafogo vs Fluminense | 0-1 |
| Sep 15 | Botafogo vs Corinthia… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Botafogo vs São Berna… | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Botafogo vs Novorizon… | 2-0 |
| Sep 08 | Botafogo vs Volta Red… | 0-0 |
Vasco DA Gama Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Vasco DA … vs Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | Vasco DA … vs Athletico… | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Vasco DA … vs Athletico… | 2-1 |
| Aug 11 | Vasco DA … vs Fluminense | 2-0 |
| Aug 07 | Vasco DA … vs Athletico… | 1-0 |
| Aug 01 | Vasco DA … vs Athletico… | 1-1 |
| Jul 28 | Vasco DA … vs Remo | 1-0 |
| Jul 21 | Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 1 | Botafogo | Serie A |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Botafogo | 2 - 4 | Vasco DA Gama | Carioca - 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Botafogo to win (64% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Botafogo Power
0
Vasco DA Gama Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Botafogo Position+12
Position Gap17
Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.