AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca - 1 Feb 23, 2025

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
21:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Botafogo Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.37 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Vasco DA Gama Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Vasco DA … vs União Ron… 0-3
Feb 16 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 2-0
Feb 15 Vasco DA … vs Humaitá 2-1
Feb 06 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 1-2
Jan 29 Vasco DA … vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 24 Vasco DA … vs Madureira… 2-0
Jan 19 Vasco DA … vs Boavista 1-1
Jan 11 Vasco DA … vs Nova Igua… 1-1
Dec 08 Vasco DA … vs Cuiabá 1-2
Dec 04 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 2-0
Botafogo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Botafogo vs Sousa 1-2
Feb 20 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 3-1
Feb 11 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 1-0
Feb 09 Botafogo vs Fluminense 4-1
Feb 08 Botafogo vs Velo Clube 1-0
Jan 30 Botafogo vs Fluminense 2-1
Jan 26 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 24 Botafogo vs Oeste 0-0
Jan 23 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 1-2
Jan 15 Botafogo vs EC de Pat… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vasco DA Gama in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Botafogo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Vasco DA Gama Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Botafogo Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.