AI Match Insights

Professional Development League Mar 28, 2025

AFC Bournemouth U21

Home
VS
13:00

Swansea City U21

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
AFC Bournemouth U21 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Swansea City U21 Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Bournemouth U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Swansea City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
AFC Bournemouth U21 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 AFC Bourn… vs Brentford… 8-1
Mar 18 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 1-2
Mar 11 AFC Bourn… vs Cardiff C… 4-0
Feb 04 AFC Bourn… vs Millwall … 2-0
Jan 21 AFC Bourn… vs Brentford… 1-3
Jan 17 AFC Bourn… vs Colcheste… 0-4
Dec 18 AFC Bourn… vs Brentford… 3-0
Dec 10 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 2-3
Dec 03 AFC Bourn… vs Cardiff C… 0-0
Nov 09 AFC Bourn… vs Brentford… 2-1
Swansea City U21 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 Swansea C… vs Charlton … 3-1
Mar 17 Swansea C… vs Watford U… 1-3
Mar 03 Swansea C… vs Brentford… 3-0
Jan 24 Swansea C… vs Millwall … 5-0
Jan 20 Swansea C… vs Millwall … 3-4
Jan 06 Swansea C… vs Colcheste… 4-1
Dec 20 Swansea C… vs Charlton … 3-1
Dec 09 Swansea C… vs Watford U… 1-3
Nov 18 Swansea C… vs Brentford… 3-3
Oct 24 Swansea C… vs AFC Bourn… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Bournemouth U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Swansea City U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2024 Swansea City U21 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth U21 Professional D…
Feb 12, 2024 Swansea City U21 3 - 2 AFC Bournemouth U21 Professional D…
Final Verdict

PRO: AFC Bournemouth U21 to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Bournemouth U21 Power 40
Swansea City U21 Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AFC Bournemouth U21 Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Swansea City U21 Position

Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.