AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League 2 Division One Jan 12, 2024

Nottingham Forest U21

Home
VS
19:00

Sunderland U21

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Nottingham Forest U21 Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sunderland U21 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.75 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nottingham Forest U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Sunderland U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Nottingham Forest U21 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Nottingha… vs Wolves U21 2-2
Sep 23 Nottingha… vs Crystal P… 4-3
May 08 Nottingha… vs West Brom… 3-0
Apr 11 Nottingha… vs Blackburn… 6-1
Feb 27 Nottingha… vs West Brom… 0-0
Feb 24 Nottingha… vs Derby Cou… 0-2
Jan 27 Nottingha… vs Derby Cou… 7-2
Nov 07 Nottingha… vs West Brom… 1-5
Oct 10 Nottingha… vs Derby Cou… 0-1
Sunderland U21 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Sunderlan… vs Derby Cou… 3-1
Aug 14 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 2-0
Feb 20 Sunderlan… vs Derby Cou… 1-1
Jan 30 Sunderlan… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Jan 13 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 0-0
Jan 05 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 1-4
Nov 14 Sunderlan… vs Wolves U21 1-0
Oct 31 Sunderlan… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Aug 21 Sunderlan… vs Derby Cou… 0-4
Aug 05 Sunderlan… vs Norwich C… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sunderland U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nottingham Forest U21 to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nottingham Forest U21 Power 47
Sunderland U21 Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Nottingham Forest U21 Position

+2

Position Gap

21

Sunderland U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.