Ligat Ha'al · Dec 09, 2024 18:30

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Beer Sh… Form WWWDW
UP
Beitar Jerusal… Form DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Hapoel Beer… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Beitar Jeru… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Hapoel Beer Sh…
vs
1.09
Beitar Jerusal…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings49%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Hapoel Beer…
+1
Gap
#2
Beitar Jeru…
WR 80% 48 pts WR 89% 47 pts
Hapoel Beer Sh… 18.0%
Dec 04 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-2
Nov 30 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-0
Nov 28 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-3
Nov 22 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-2
Nov 09 Hapoel … v Ironi T… 0-2
Oct 26 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-1
Oct 06 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 3-1
Sep 29 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 3-0
Sep 14 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-0
Sep 13 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-3
Beitar Jerusal… 12.0%
Dec 01 Beitar … v Hapoel … 3-3
Nov 28 Beitar … v Maccabi… 3-3
Nov 09 Beitar … v Hapoel … 1-0
Nov 08 Beitar … v Hapoel … 3-0
Nov 05 Beitar … v Bnei Sa… 2-1
Nov 01 Beitar … v Holon Y… 0-0
Oct 28 Beitar … v Maccabi… 3-1
Oct 22 Beitar … v Dimona 3-1
Oct 22 Beitar … v Maccabi… 0-0
Oct 22 Beitar … v Maccabi… 3-2
Head-to-Head (3)
Mar 04, 2024 Hapoel Beer S… 1-0 Beitar Jerusa…
Jan 27, 2024 Hapoel Beer S… 1-0 Beitar Jerusa…
Dec 23, 2023 Beitar Jerusa… 4-4 Hapoel Beer S…
Key Factors
Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.