Ligat Ha'al · Dec 09, 2024 18:30

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 35

Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 35

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 35
4 - 1
FT

Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Hapoel Beer Sheva to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.9% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Beer Sh… Form
WWWDW
UP
Beitar Jerusal… Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Hapoel Beer… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Beitar Jeru… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Hapoel Beer Sh…vs
1.09
Beitar Jerusal…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings49%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Hapoel Beer…+1
Gap#2
Beitar Jeru…
WR 80% 48 pts
WR 89% 47 pts
Hapoel Beer Sh…
18.0%
| Dec 04 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Nov 30 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-3 |
| Nov 22 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Hapoel … v Ironi T… | 0-2 |
| Oct 26 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-1 |
| Oct 06 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 3-1 |
| Sep 29 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 3-0 |
| Sep 14 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-3 |
Beitar Jerusal…
12.0%
| Dec 01 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 3-3 |
| Nov 28 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 3-3 |
| Nov 09 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | Beitar … v Bnei Sa… | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | Beitar … v Holon Y… | 0-0 |
| Oct 28 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 3-1 |
| Oct 22 | Beitar … v Dimona | 3-1 |
| Oct 22 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 22 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 04, 2024 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-0 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Hapoel Beer S… | 1-0 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Beitar Jerusa… | 4-4 | Hapoel Beer S… |
Key Factors
Hapoel Beer Sheva in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.