AI Match Insights

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Primera División - Apertura Jun 23, 2025

Cerro Largo

Home
VS
23:00

Plaza Colonia

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Cerro Largo Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Plaza Colonia Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.51 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Cerro Largo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Plaza Colonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Cerro Largo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Cerro Lar… vs Plaza Col… 2-1
Apr 06 Cerro Lar… vs Club Naci… 0-4
Mar 25 Cerro Lar… vs Atletico … 1-1
Nov 30 Cerro Lar… vs Progreso 2-1
Nov 27 Cerro Lar… vs Defensor … 3-0
Nov 19 Cerro Lar… vs Rangers FC 4-0
Nov 13 Cerro Lar… vs Peñarol M… 0-0
Nov 09 Cerro Lar… vs River Pla… 1-0
Nov 03 Cerro Lar… vs Boston Ri… 3-0
Oct 13 Cerro Lar… vs Club Naci… 0-1
Plaza Colonia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Plaza Col… vs Cerro Lar… 2-1
Nov 16 Plaza Col… vs Oriental 1-2
Nov 10 Plaza Col… vs Cerrito 1-0
Nov 04 Plaza Col… vs Juventud 0-1
Oct 29 Plaza Col… vs Club Naci… 4-0
Oct 19 Plaza Col… vs Atletico … 2-1
Oct 13 Plaza Col… vs Albion FC 2-1
Oct 05 Plaza Col… vs Colón 0-2
Feb 29 Plaza Col… vs Defensor … 0-1
Dec 08 Plaza Col… vs Boston Ri… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cerro Largo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Plaza Colonia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2025 Cerro Largo 2 - 1 Plaza Colonia Primera Divisi…
Nov 18, 2023 Cerro Largo 4 - 0 Plaza Colonia Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cerro Largo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cerro Largo Power 0
Plaza Colonia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.