AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 17, 2026

Rochdale

Home
VS
19:45

Scunthorpe

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Scunthorpe Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.35 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (4%) 1-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Rochdale Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Rochdale vs Boreham W… 4-1
Jan 27 Rochdale vs Southend 2-1
Jan 24 Rochdale vs Truro City 2-0
Jan 21 Rochdale vs Solihull … 0-1
Jan 17 Rochdale vs Gateshead 0-2
Jan 13 Rochdale vs Tamworth 1-1
Dec 30 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 26 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Dec 19 Rochdale vs Altrincham 0-3
Nov 29 Rochdale vs Eastleigh 2-0
Scunthorpe Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 3-2
Jan 20 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 1-3
Jan 17 Scunthorpe vs Morecambe 2-2
Dec 30 Scunthorpe vs Gateshead 2-0
Dec 26 Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 20 Scunthorpe vs Woking 1-2
Dec 06 Scunthorpe vs Tamworth 3-1
Dec 02 Scunthorpe vs Newcastle… 2-0
Nov 29 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 4-2
Nov 22 Scunthorpe vs Braintree 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rochdale in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Scunthorpe in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rochdale to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Scunthorpe Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Rochdale Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Scunthorpe Position
Home Win Rate: 85%
Away Win Rate: 47%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.