J2 League · May 06, 2025 07:00
JEF United Chiba
PWR 53
Omiya Ardija
PWR 54
JEF United Chiba
PWR 53
1 - 2
FT
Omiya Ardija
PWR 54
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.1
Attack54
Defense61
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
JEF United Chi… Form
DDWWW
STABLE
Omiya Ardija Form
DLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS40%
Under 2.560%
JEF United … Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Omiya Ardija Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
JEF United Chi…vs
0.68
Omiya ArdijaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
JEF United …-2
Gap#6
Omiya Ardija
WR 47% 63 pts
WR 46% 65 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 41 | 63 |
| Omiya Ardija | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 63 | 46 | 65 |
JEF United Chi…
16.0%
| May 03 | JEF Uni… v Sagan T… | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | JEF Uni… v Roasso … | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | JEF Uni… v Blaubli… | 3-1 |
| Apr 20 | JEF Uni… v Oita Tr… | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | JEF Uni… v Fujieda… | 2-3 |
| Mar 26 | JEF Uni… v Katalle… | 4-2 |
| Nov 10 | JEF Uni… v Montedi… | 4-0 |
| Nov 03 | JEF Uni… v V-Varen… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | JEF Uni… v Fujieda… | 2-3 |
| Oct 19 | JEF Uni… v Ventfor… | 2-1 |
Omiya Ardija
8.0%
| May 03 | Omiya A… v Katalle… | 2-2 |
| Apr 29 | Omiya A… v Iwaki | 2-1 |
| Apr 25 | Omiya A… v Consado… | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Omiya A… v Imabari | 0-0 |
| Apr 16 | Omiya A… v FC Tokyo | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Omiya A… v Blaubli… | 1-2 |
| Mar 26 | Omiya A… v Iwaki | 3-3 |
| Mar 23 | Omiya A… v Mito Ho… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Omiya A… v Renofa … | 2-1 |
| Nov 24 | Omiya A… v Katalle… | 1-2 |
Key Factors
JEF United Chiba in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.