Ligue 1 · Nov 19, 2025 13:00
Etoile de Kivu
PWR 35
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Bukavu Dawa
PWR 35
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Etoile de Kivu Form
DLWDL
STABLE
Bukavu Dawa Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS51%
Under 2.540%
Etoile de K… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Bukavu Dawa Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.41
Etoile de Kivuvs
0.73
Bukavu DawaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Etoile de K…+1
Gap#14
Bukavu Dawa
WR 22% 16 pts
WR 0% 10 pts
Etoile de Kivu
8.0%
| Nov 15 | Etoile … v Rangers… | 1-1 |
| Nov 12 | Etoile … v Dauphin… | 0-3 |
| Nov 07 | Etoile … v Renaiss… | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Etoile … v Céleste | 0-0 |
| Oct 31 | Etoile … v Motema … | 4-2 |
| Oct 26 | Etoile … v Anges V… | 3-2 |
| Oct 23 | Etoile … v Vita Cl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Etoile … v Rangers… | 1-0 |
| Dec 28 | Etoile … v Motema … | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Etoile … v Renaiss… | 1-1 |
Bukavu Dawa
6.0%
| Nov 16 | Bukavu … v Vita Cl… | 0-2 |
| Nov 13 | Bukavu … v New Jack | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Bukavu … v Maniema… | 0-0 |
| Nov 05 | Bukavu … v Dauphin… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Bukavu … v Renaiss… | 0-1 |
| Oct 30 | Bukavu … v Céleste | 5-0 |
| Oct 26 | Bukavu … v Motema … | 0-3 |
| Oct 22 | Bukavu … v Anges V… | 3-0 |
| Dec 12 | Bukavu … v Anges V… | 4-3 |
| Dec 04 | Bukavu … v JSK | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 03, 2024 | Etoile de Kivu | 0-1 | Bukavu Dawa |
Key Factors
Bukavu Dawa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.