AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Dec 16, 2025

Maniema Union

Home
VS
11:00

Céleste

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Maniema Union Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Céleste Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.02 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maniema Union Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Maniema Union Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 0-1
Dec 09 Maniema U… vs New Jack 1-1
Dec 06 Maniema U… vs FC MK 1-1
Nov 30 Maniema U… vs Nairobi U… 0-1
Nov 23 Maniema U… vs Azam 2-0
Nov 18 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 1-1
Nov 15 Maniema U… vs Anges Ver… 4-0
Nov 12 Maniema U… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Nov 08 Maniema U… vs Bukavu Da… 0-0
Nov 05 Maniema U… vs Motema Pe… 1-1
Céleste Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Céleste vs Dauphins … 1-0
Dec 07 Céleste vs Vita Club 0-0
Dec 04 Céleste vs Rangers FC 1-5
Dec 01 Céleste vs Renaissan… 0-0
Nov 24 Céleste vs JSK 0-1
Nov 12 Céleste vs FC MK 1-1
Nov 04 Céleste vs Etoile de… 0-0
Oct 30 Céleste vs Bukavu Da… 5-0
Oct 26 Céleste vs New Jack 2-1
Oct 23 Céleste vs Renaissan… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maniema Union in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2025 Maniema Union 0 - 0 Céleste Ligue 1
Nov 20, 2024 Céleste 0 - 1 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Sep 23, 2023 Céleste 0 - 3 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2022 Céleste 0 - 2 Maniema Union Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maniema Union Power 0
Céleste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Maniema Union Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Céleste Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.