A Lyga · Apr 20, 2025 15:25
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 57
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 55
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 57
2 - 1
FT
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 55
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Hegelmann Litauen to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense58
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack55
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Hegelmann Lita… Form
LWWWW
STABLE
FK Zalgiris Vi… Form
WLDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS56%
Under 2.533%
Hegelmann L… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
FK Zalgiris… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Hegelmann Lita…vs
0.87
FK Zalgiris Vi…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Hegelmann L…-1
Gap#2
FK Zalgiris…
WR 58% 67 pts
WR 49% 72 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litau… | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 43 | 67 |
| FK Zalgiris Vil… | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 65 | 48 | 72 |
Hegelmann Lita…
16.0%
| Apr 16 | Hegelma… v Kauno Ž… | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Hegelma… v Dainava | 3-2 |
| Apr 06 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 0-2 |
| Mar 29 | Hegelma… v FK Trak… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Hegelma… v Šiauliai | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hegelma… v Banga | 2-0 |
| Jan 30 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 2-3 |
| Sep 14 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 1-1 |
| Jun 30 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 3-1 |
FK Zalgiris Vi…
12.0%
| Apr 16 | FK Zalg… v Sūduva … | 3-0 |
| Apr 12 | FK Zalg… v Šiauliai | 2-0 |
| Apr 06 | FK Zalg… v Kauno Ž… | 0-0 |
| Mar 30 | FK Zalg… v Dainava | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | FK Zalg… v Banga | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | FK Zalg… v FK Trak… | 3-3 |
| Mar 02 | FK Zalg… v Džiugas… | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | FK Zalg… v Hegelma… | 2-3 |
| Jan 18 | FK Zalg… v Rīgas FS | 0-1 |
| Nov 06 | FK Zalg… v Šiauliai | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 30, 2025 | FK Zalgiris V… | 2-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 3-1 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| May 12, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 0-0 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Feb 14, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
Key Factors
Hegelmann Litauen in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.