A Lyga · Nov 02, 2025 16:25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 55
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 57
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
PWR 55
3 - 1
FT
Hegelmann Litauen
PWR 57
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack54
Defense58
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
FK Zalgiris Vi… Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Hegelmann Lita… Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS24%
Under 2.578%
FK Zalgiris… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Hegelmann L… Goals
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
FK Zalgiris Vi…vs
0.44
Hegelmann Lita…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
FK Zalgiris…+1
Gap#3
Hegelmann L…
WR 49% 72 pts
WR 58% 67 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Vil… | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 65 | 48 | 72 |
| Hegelmann Litau… | 36 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 56 | 43 | 67 |
FK Zalgiris Vi…
18.0%
| Oct 26 | FK Zalg… v Šiauliai | 1-0 |
| Oct 22 | FK Zalg… v Kauno Ž… | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | FK Zalg… v Dainava | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | FK Zalg… v Džiugas… | 1-2 |
| Sep 29 | FK Zalg… v Sūduva … | 1-3 |
| Sep 19 | FK Zalg… v FK Trak… | 0-2 |
| Sep 13 | FK Zalg… v Banga | 0-2 |
| Aug 31 | FK Zalg… v Panevėž… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | FK Zalg… v Hegelma… | 2-2 |
| Aug 20 | FK Zalg… v Dainava | 1-1 |
Hegelmann Lita…
12.0%
| Oct 27 | Hegelma… v Dainava | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | Hegelma… v Džiugas… | 4-1 |
| Oct 18 | Hegelma… v FK Trak… | 2-0 |
| Oct 05 | Hegelma… v Banga | 0-0 |
| Oct 01 | Hegelma… v Kauno Ž… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Hegelma… v Panevėž… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Hegelma… v Šiauliai | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | Hegelma… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| Aug 27 | Hegelma… v Kauno Ž… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Hegelma… v FK Zalg… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 2-2 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| Jun 24, 2025 | FK Zalgiris V… | 0-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Hegelmann Lit… | 2-1 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FK Zalgiris V… | 2-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-1 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 3-1 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| May 12, 2024 | Hegelmann Lit… | 0-0 | FK Zalgiris V… |
| Mar 17, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
| Feb 14, 2024 | FK Zalgiris V… | 1-3 | Hegelmann Lit… |
Key Factors
FK Zalgiris Vilnius in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.