AI Match Insights

First Division League (FDL) Nov 04, 2025

Al Jabalain

Home
VS
14:35

Al-Raed

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Al Jabalain Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Al-Raed Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.76 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Jabalain Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Al-Raed Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Al Jabalain Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 1-2
Oct 29 Al Jabala… vs Al-Raed 4-1
Oct 29 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 1-1
Oct 22 Al Jabala… vs Al Jabala… 1-1
Oct 22 Al Jabala… vs Al Taee 1-4
Oct 05 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 2-1
Oct 04 Al Jabala… vs Al Riyadh 0-4
Oct 03 Al Jabala… vs Al Orubah 3-0
Sep 29 Al Jabala… vs Al Anwar 0-0
Sep 28 Al Jabala… vs Jeddah Cl… 4-1
Al-Raed Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Al-Raed vs Al Jabala… 4-1
Oct 22 Al-Raed vs Al Arabi … 1-0
Oct 05 Al-Raed vs Al Taee 1-1
Sep 29 Al-Raed vs Al Riyadh 0-1
Sep 16 Al-Raed vs Al-Batin 2-1
Sep 12 Al-Raed vs Al-Adalah 4-4
May 26 Al-Raed vs Al Akhdoud 1-2
May 22 Al-Raed vs Al Akhdoud 1-0
May 15 Al-Raed vs Al-Ittiha… 1-3
May 11 Al-Raed vs Damac 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Raed in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Al Jabalain struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 29, 2025 Al-Raed 4 - 1 Al Jabalain First Division…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Jabalain Power 0
Al-Raed Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Al Jabalain Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Al-Raed Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.