AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Nov 09, 2025

Blumenau

Home
VS
18:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Blumenau Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Joinville Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.79 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Blumenau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Blumenau Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Blumenau vs Joinville 1-0
Oct 26 Blumenau vs Tubarão 3-1
Oct 19 Blumenau vs Tubarão 0-1
Oct 13 Blumenau vs Joinville 2-0
Oct 05 Blumenau vs Carlos Re… 2-1
Sep 28 Blumenau vs Nação 5-1
Sep 23 Blumenau vs Nação 0-2
Sep 14 Blumenau vs Carlos Re… 2-2
Sep 07 Blumenau vs Joinville 2-0
Aug 17 Blumenau vs Camboriú 1-2
Joinville Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Oct 27 Joinville vs Criciúma 2-2
Oct 21 Joinville vs Criciúma 0-0
Oct 13 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Oct 07 Joinville vs Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Sep 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 4-2
Sep 14 Joinville vs Nação 0-0
Sep 07 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Jul 20 Joinville vs São José … 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Blumenau in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Joinville in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 02, 2025 Joinville 1 - 0 Blumenau Copa Santa Cat…
Oct 13, 2025 Joinville 2 - 0 Blumenau Copa Santa Cat…
Sep 07, 2025 Blumenau 2 - 0 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Blumenau to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Blumenau Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.