AI Match Insights

Ekstraklasa Feb 04, 2026

Jagiellonia

Home
VS
19:30

GKS Katowice

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Jagiellonia Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
GKS Katowice Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 85%
Market 57%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 50%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 1.75 - 1.31
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jagiellonia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
GKS Katowice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Jagiellonia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Jagiellon… vs Widzew Łó… 1-3
Dec 18 Jagiellon… vs AZ Alkmaar 0-0
Dec 14 Jagiellon… vs Motor Lub… 1-1
Dec 11 Jagiellon… vs Rayo Vall… 1-2
Dec 07 Jagiellon… vs Nieciecza 2-1
Dec 04 Jagiellon… vs GKS Katow… 3-1
Nov 30 Jagiellon… vs Zaglebie … 0-0
Nov 27 Jagiellon… vs KuPS 1-0
Nov 14 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Gro… 5-1
Nov 09 Jagiellon… vs Pogoń Szc… 1-2
GKS Katowice Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 GKS Katow… vs Zaglebie … 0-2
Dec 07 GKS Katow… vs Raków Czę… 1-0
Dec 04 GKS Katow… vs Jagiellon… 3-1
Nov 29 GKS Katow… vs Pogoń Szc… 2-0
Nov 08 GKS Katow… vs Piast Gli… 1-3
Oct 31 GKS Katow… vs Nieciecza 0-3
Oct 28 GKS Katow… vs ŁKS Łódź 1-2
Oct 25 GKS Katow… vs Korona Ki… 1-0
Oct 17 GKS Katow… vs Motor Lub… 2-5
Oct 05 GKS Katow… vs Lech Pozn… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • GKS Katowice in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 04, 2025 GKS Katowice 3 - 1 Jagiellonia Cup
Mar 02, 2025 Jagiellonia 1 - 0 GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa
Aug 25, 2024 GKS Katowice 3 - 1 Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jagiellonia to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Jagiellonia Power 0
GKS Katowice Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Jagiellonia Position

+10

Position Gap

13

GKS Katowice Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.