AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Canadian Premier League Oct 11, 2025

Cavalry FC

Home
VS
01:30

Forge

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Cavalry FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Forge Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.49 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cavalry FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Forge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Cavalry FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC 3-3
Sep 27 Cavalry FC vs Atlético … 3-0
Sep 20 Cavalry FC vs Valour 3-0
Sep 13 Cavalry FC vs HFX Wande… 3-1
Sep 05 Cavalry FC vs York 9 FC 3-1
Aug 30 Cavalry FC vs Forge 4-1
Aug 23 Cavalry FC vs Atlético … 2-2
Aug 17 Cavalry FC vs Vancouver… 5-4
Aug 09 Cavalry FC vs HFX Wande… 0-0
Aug 04 Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC 1-0
Forge Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Forge vs Vancouver… 1-1
Sep 27 Forge vs Pacific FC 4-0
Sep 21 Forge vs Atlético … 1-1
Sep 12 Forge vs Valour 2-1
Sep 06 Forge vs HFX Wande… 1-0
Aug 30 Forge vs Cavalry FC 4-1
Aug 23 Forge vs Vancouver… 0-1
Aug 17 Forge vs Atlético … 2-0
Aug 09 Forge vs York 9 FC 1-2
Aug 02 Forge vs Valour 5-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Cavalry FC 4 - 1 Forge Canadian Premi…
May 31, 2025 Forge 1 - 1 Cavalry FC Canadian Premi…
Apr 05, 2025 Forge 1 - 0 Cavalry FC Canadian Premi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cavalry FC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cavalry FC Power 0
Forge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.