AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Ascenso Oct 24, 2025

AD Carmelita

Home
VS
21:00

CS Uruguay

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
AD Carmelita Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
CS Uruguay Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.10 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
CS Uruguay Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
AD Carmelita Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-0
Oct 11 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Oct 08 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 2-2
Oct 01 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 0-2
Sep 29 AD Carmel… vs Santa Ana 1-1
Sep 24 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Sep 19 AD Carmel… vs Aserri FC 1-0
Sep 12 AD Carmel… vs Futbol Co… 1-0
Sep 07 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 2-1
Sep 04 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-1
CS Uruguay Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 0-2
Oct 09 CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC 1-1
Oct 04 CS Uruguay vs Futbol Co… 2-1
Sep 21 CS Uruguay vs Pitbulls … 0-0
Sep 18 CS Uruguay vs Cariari P… 2-1
Sep 13 CS Uruguay vs Escorpion… 5-3
Sep 09 CS Uruguay vs Chile 0-0
Sep 07 CS Uruguay vs AD Carmel… 2-1
Sep 05 CS Uruguay vs Santa Ana 2-1
Sep 04 CS Uruguay vs Peru 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2025 CS Uruguay 2 - 1 AD Carmelita Liga de Ascenso
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AD Carmelita Power 0
CS Uruguay Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AD Carmelita Position

+2

Position Gap

6

CS Uruguay Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.