AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
K3 League May 17, 2025

Cheongju

Home
VS
05:00

Incheon United

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Cheongju Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Incheon United Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.65 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.4
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cheongju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Incheon United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Cheongju Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 12 Cheongju vs Changnyeo… 1-3
May 11 Cheongju vs Busan I P… 0-2
May 11 Cheongju vs Siheung C… 1-1
May 08 Cheongju vs Gumi Spor… 1-0
May 04 Cheongju vs Suwon Blu… 3-3
May 03 Cheongju vs Siheung C… 2-3
May 01 Cheongju vs Hwacheon … 2-0
Apr 28 Cheongju vs Seoul FC 2-1
Apr 27 Cheongju vs Changnyeo… 1-3
Apr 26 Cheongju vs Incheon U… 0-1
Incheon United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 14 Incheon U… vs Ulsan Hyu… 3-0
May 11 Incheon U… vs Suwon Blu… 2-0
May 10 Incheon U… vs Asan Mugu… 0-3
May 10 Incheon U… vs Changnyeo… 1-2
May 10 Incheon U… vs Siheung C… 1-1
May 04 Incheon U… vs Hwaseong 2-1
May 04 Incheon U… vs Gimpo Cit… 3-0
May 03 Incheon U… vs Mokpo City 1-1
May 03 Incheon U… vs Gimhae Ci… 3-1
Apr 26 Incheon U… vs Busan Tra… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Incheon United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 26, 2025 Incheon United 0 - 1 Cheongju K League 2
Apr 13, 2025 Incheon United 2 - 1 Cheongju K League 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cheongju to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cheongju Power 0
Incheon United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.