AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
K3 League Jul 12, 2025

Siheung Citizen

Home
VS
10:00

Changnyeong

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Siheung Citizen Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Changnyeong Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.58 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Siheung Citizen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Changnyeong Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Siheung Citizen Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Siheung C… vs Incheon U… 0-4
Jul 05 Siheung C… vs Daejeon K… 1-2
Jul 05 Siheung C… vs Incheon U… 1-2
Jun 29 Siheung C… vs Siheung C… 0-4
Jun 28 Siheung C… vs Cheongju 3-4
Jun 22 Siheung C… vs Changnyeo… 2-2
Jun 21 Siheung C… vs Mokpo City 0-2
Jun 15 Siheung C… vs Busan Tra… 0-1
Jun 15 Siheung C… vs Changnyeo… 2-0
Jun 15 Siheung C… vs Gimhae Ci… 1-2
Changnyeong Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Changnyeo… vs Changnyeo… 3-1
Jul 06 Changnyeo… vs Mokpo City 0-0
Jun 29 Changnyeo… vs Incheon U… 3-1
Jun 28 Changnyeo… vs Gimhae Ci… 0-2
Jun 28 Changnyeo… vs Busan Tra… 2-1
Jun 26 Changnyeo… vs Incheon R… 1-2
Jun 23 Changnyeo… vs Cheongju 3-0
Jun 22 Changnyeo… vs Siheung C… 2-2
Jun 22 Changnyeo… vs Daejeon K… 1-0
Jun 19 Changnyeo… vs Suwon FC … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Siheung Citizen struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Changnyeong struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 22, 2025 Changnyeong 2 - 2 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Jun 15, 2025 Changnyeong 2 - 0 Siheung Citizen K3 League
May 25, 2025 Changnyeong 0 - 1 Siheung Citizen K3 League
May 17, 2025 Siheung Citizen 0 - 0 Changnyeong K3 League
May 04, 2025 Changnyeong 1 - 1 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Apr 27, 2025 Changnyeong 2 - 1 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Mar 29, 2025 Changnyeong 2 - 2 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Mar 15, 2025 Changnyeong 3 - 1 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Sep 15, 2024 Changnyeong 0 - 1 Siheung Citizen K3 League
Sep 14, 2024 Siheung Citizen 1 - 0 Changnyeong K3 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Siheung Citizen to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Siheung Citizen Power 0
Changnyeong Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.