AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 30, 2025

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
07:00

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Perth Glory Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.02 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Macarthur FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Macarthur… vs Wofoo Tai… 2-1
Nov 22 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Nov 09 Macarthur… vs Sydney 2-0
Nov 06 Macarthur… vs Công An N… 2-1
Nov 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 1-1
Oct 27 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Oct 23 Macarthur… vs Công An N… 1-1
Oct 17 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-0
Oct 02 Macarthur… vs Beijing G… 3-0
Sep 18 Macarthur… vs Wofoo Tai… 2-1
Perth Glory Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Perth Glo… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Nov 07 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 0-1
Oct 31 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Oct 25 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 4-0
Oct 18 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 2-2
Sep 24 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Sep 21 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-0
May 04 Perth Glo… vs Wellingto… 0-2
Apr 27 Perth Glo… vs Auckland 1-0
Apr 12 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 27, 2024 Perth Glory 0 - 3 Macarthur FC A-League
Oct 20, 2024 Macarthur FC 6 - 1 Perth Glory A-League
Jan 28, 2024 Macarthur FC 2 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Dec 23, 2023 Perth Glory 3 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jul 18, 2023 Perth Glory 0 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.