1. Liga · Jul 19, 2025 12:00
Progress / AFA Olaine
PWR 25
3 - 0
FT

Rēzekne FA
PWR 34
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense0
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G3.4
Attack48
Defense23
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G2.2
Progress / AFA… Form LLWLD
DOWN
Rēzekne FA Form WLLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS86%
Under 2.523%
Progress / … Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Rēzekne FA Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Progress / AFA…
vs
2.22
Rēzekne FA
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Progress / …
-4
Gap
#9
Rēzekne FA
WR 23% 22 pts WR 31% 31 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Progress / AFA …266416398822
Rēzekne FA268711365731
Progress / AFA… 6.0%
Jul 06 Progres… v Leevon … 3-2
Jun 29 Progres… v Mārupe 1-4
Jun 14 Progres… v Skanste 2-3
Jun 08 Progres… v Augšdau… 4-1
May 25 Progres… v Riga FC… 1-1
May 17 Progres… v JDFS Al… 1-0
May 11 Progres… v Rīgas F… 3-3
May 04 Progres… v Smiltene 4-2
Apr 26 Progres… v Riga Ma… 1-5
Apr 14 Progres… v Tukums … 0-1
Rēzekne FA 10.0%
Jul 06 Rēzekne… v Smiltene 2-1
Jun 29 Rēzekne… v Leevon … 6-2
Jun 14 Rēzekne… v Riga Ma… 2-5
May 24 Rēzekne… v Mārupe 1-1
May 18 Rēzekne… v Augšdau… 1-0
May 10 Rēzekne… v Skanste 1-1
May 03 Rēzekne… v Tukums … 1-1
Apr 27 Rēzekne… v Riga FC… 2-3
Apr 18 Rēzekne… v Ogre Un… 0-3
Apr 12 Rēzekne… v JDFS Al… 8-1
Key Factors
Progress / AFA Olaine struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.