Azerbaijan Premier League · Oct 26, 2025 14:30
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Şamaxı
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Şamaxı
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Qarabağ FK to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Şamaxı Form
LWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS33%
Under 2.569%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Şamaxı Goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Qarabağ FKvs
0.58
ŞamaxıDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK+6
Gap#8
Şamaxı
WR 64% 39 pts
WR 30% 23 pts
Qarabağ FK
16.0%
| Oct 22 | Qarabağ… v Athleti… | 3-1 |
| Oct 17 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Qarabağ… v FC Cope… | 2-0 |
| Sep 26 | Qarabağ… v Qabala | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 0-5 |
| Sep 16 | Qarabağ… v Benfica | 2-3 |
| Sep 12 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Qarabağ… v Karvan | 0-2 |
| Aug 27 | Qarabağ… v Ferencv… | 2-3 |
Şamaxı
10.0%
| Oct 17 | Şamaxı v Kəpəz | 1-4 |
| Oct 05 | Şamaxı v Qabala | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | Şamaxı v Araz | 1-1 |
| Sep 19 | Şamaxı v Zira | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Şamaxı v Karvan | 3-0 |
| Aug 29 | Şamaxı v Sumqayıt | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Şamaxı v Sabah FA | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Şamaxı v Neftchi… | 1-1 |
| May 24 | Şamaxı v Qarabağ… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | Şamaxı v Araz | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 24, 2025 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 3-2 | Şamaxı |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Şamaxı |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Şamaxı |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Şamaxı | 0-4 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Qarabağ FK | 4-0 | Şamaxı |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Qarabağ FK | 8-0 | Şamaxı |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.