AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Dec 03, 2025

Kitayosce

Home
VS
13:00

Simba

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Kitayosce Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Simba Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.35 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kitayosce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Simba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Kitayosce Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Su… 2-1
Nov 26 Kitayosce vs JKT Tanza… 1-0
Nov 22 Kitayosce vs Tanzania … 1-0
Oct 22 Kitayosce vs Mashujaa 0-0
Sep 28 Kitayosce vs Pamba Jiji 0-0
Sep 20 Kitayosce vs Dodoma Ji… 2-2
Jun 22 Kitayosce vs Coastal U… 1-1
Jun 18 Kitayosce vs Azam 5-0
May 14 Kitayosce vs KMC 0-1
Apr 19 Kitayosce vs Singida F… 3-0
Simba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Simba vs Stade Mal… 2-1
Nov 27 Simba vs Tanganyika 1-2
Nov 23 Simba vs Petro de … 0-1
Nov 17 Simba vs Sanga Bal… 1-0
Nov 11 Simba vs TP Mazembe 1-1
Nov 08 Simba vs Saint Elo… 1-1
Nov 08 Simba vs JKT Tanza… 1-2
Nov 05 Simba vs CS Manika 1-0
Nov 02 Simba vs FC Tshikas 2-1
Oct 30 Simba vs AS New So… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2025 Kitayosce 0 - 3 Simba Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 18, 2024 Simba 3 - 0 Kitayosce Ligi kuu Bara
May 06, 2024 Simba 2 - 0 Kitayosce Ligi kuu Bara
Feb 06, 2024 Kitayosce 0 - 4 Simba Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kitayosce Power 0
Simba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Kitayosce Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Simba Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.