AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 13, 2025

Red Arrows

Home
VS
13:00

Nchanga Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Red Arrows Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Nchanga Rangers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.72 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Nchanga Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Red Arrows Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 1-1
Aug 23 Red Arrows vs Mines 4-1
May 17 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-0
Apr 02 Red Arrows vs Mufulira … 1-0
Mar 26 Red Arrows vs Nchanga R… 2-1
Mar 13 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-1
Feb 23 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 1-0
Feb 15 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
Feb 08 Red Arrows vs Mutondo S… 0-0
Jan 25 Red Arrows vs Kabwe War… 1-1
Nchanga Rangers Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Nchanga R… vs Mufulira … 2-0
Aug 24 Nchanga R… vs Green Eag… 0-1
Aug 16 Nchanga R… vs Mutondo S… 2-0
Apr 19 Nchanga R… vs Zanaco 2-0
Mar 26 Nchanga R… vs Red Arrows 2-1
Mar 12 Nchanga R… vs Mufulira … 1-0
Mar 01 Nchanga R… vs Green Eag… 2-2
Feb 22 Nchanga R… vs Nkana 2-0
Feb 15 Nchanga R… vs Nkwazi 2-1
Feb 01 Nchanga R… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Red Arrows in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Nchanga Rangers in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 26, 2025 Red Arrows 2 - 1 Nchanga Rangers Super League
Nov 23, 2024 Nchanga Rangers 1 - 0 Red Arrows Super League
Mar 04, 2023 Nchanga Rangers 2 - 2 Red Arrows Super League
Oct 22, 2022 Red Arrows 3 - 1 Nchanga Rangers Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Red Arrows to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Red Arrows Power 0
Nchanga Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Red Arrows Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Nchanga Rangers Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.