AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue A Nov 09, 2025

Musongati

Home
VS
13:00

Kayanza United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Musongati Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Kayanza United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.12 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Musongati Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Kayanza United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Musongati Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Musongati vs Green Far… 0-0
Oct 26 Musongati vs Rukinzo 3-1
Oct 05 Musongati vs Olympic S… 0-1
Sep 28 Musongati vs Le Messag… 1-0
Sep 17 Musongati vs Royal Vis… 4-1
Sep 14 Musongati vs Vital'O 0-0
Aug 29 Musongati vs Inter Star 1-3
Aug 24 Musongati vs Ngozi City 1-0
Aug 17 Musongati vs Bumamuru 2-1
May 06 Musongati vs Kayanza U… 4-1
Kayanza United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Kayanza U… vs Olympic S… 1-1
Oct 26 Kayanza U… vs Le Messag… 2-3
Oct 20 Kayanza U… vs Royal Vis… 1-3
Oct 02 Kayanza U… vs Vital'O 2-1
Sep 27 Kayanza U… vs Inter Star 2-0
Sep 18 Kayanza U… vs Ngozi City 0-0
Sep 14 Kayanza U… vs Bumamuru 1-1
Aug 31 Kayanza U… vs Flambeau … 2-0
Aug 23 Kayanza U… vs Muzinga FC 1-1
Aug 15 Kayanza U… vs Dynamik 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Musongati in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2025 Musongati 4 - 1 Kayanza United Ligue A
Aug 25, 2024 Kayanza United 0 - 3 Musongati Ligue A
Jan 24, 2024 Kayanza United 0 - 2 Musongati Ligue A
Nov 19, 2023 Musongati 2 - 0 Kayanza United Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Musongati to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Musongati Power 0
Kayanza United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Musongati Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Kayanza United Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.