AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Nov 07, 2025

Pontypridd Town

Home
VS
19:30

Cwmbran Celtic

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Pontypridd Town Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Cwmbran Celtic Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.50 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pontypridd Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Cwmbran Celtic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Pontypridd Town Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Pontyprid… vs Trefelin 2-0
Oct 24 Pontyprid… vs Cambrian … 2-4
Oct 11 Pontyprid… vs Llantwit … 2-0
Oct 03 Pontyprid… vs Treowen S… 5-2
Sep 26 Pontyprid… vs Ammanford… 1-1
Sep 12 Pontyprid… vs Newport C… 1-3
Sep 05 Pontyprid… vs Caernarfo… 3-1
Aug 25 Pontyprid… vs Caerau (E… 2-0
Aug 22 Pontyprid… vs Cardiff D… 1-2
Aug 16 Pontyprid… vs Aberystwy… 0-0
Cwmbran Celtic Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Cwmbran C… vs Baglan Dr… 0-1
Oct 24 Cwmbran C… vs Ammanford… 2-1
Oct 10 Cwmbran C… vs Caerau (E… 0-2
Oct 04 Cwmbran C… vs Cardiff D… 2-1
Sep 26 Cwmbran C… vs Trethomas… 2-2
Sep 20 Cwmbran C… vs Cardiff D… 4-2
Sep 13 Cwmbran C… vs Aberystwy… 2-0
Sep 06 Cwmbran C… vs Treowen S… 2-2
Aug 25 Cwmbran C… vs Newport C… 1-1
Aug 22 Cwmbran C… vs Trefelin 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pontypridd Town struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Cwmbran Celtic struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 18, 2025 Pontypridd Town 0 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Mar 01, 2025 Cwmbran Celtic 2 - 1 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Oct 11, 2024 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Oct 02, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town FAW Championsh…
Aug 24, 2021 Pontypridd Town 3 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic FAW Championsh…
Aug 07, 2021 Cwmbran Celtic 1 - 2 Pontypridd Town League Cup
Dec 12, 2020 Pontypridd Town 2 - 0 Cwmbran Celtic League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pontypridd Town to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pontypridd Town Power 0
Cwmbran Celtic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.