FAW Championship · Feb 07, 2026 14:00
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 52
1-2
predicted
Trefelin
PWR 49
27% H 29% D 44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Trefelin to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense54
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Attack58
Defense47
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Cardiff Dracon… Form LWLLW
STABLE
Trefelin Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Cardiff Dra… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Trefelin Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Cardiff Dracon…
vs
1.92
Trefelin
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#28
Cardiff Dra…
-21
Gap
#7
Trefelin
WR 47% 29 pts WR 43% 98 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Cardiff Draconi…19928292529
Trefelin632717191049698
Cardiff Dracon… 8.0%
Jan 24 Cardiff… v Aberyst… 3-2
Jan 16 Cardiff… v Cwmbran… 0-1
Jan 10 Cardiff… v Cambria… 0-2
Jan 02 Cardiff… v Caerau … 2-1
Dec 26 Cardiff… v Llantwi… 2-0
Dec 10 Cardiff… v Newport… 2-1
Nov 29 Cardiff… v Trefelin 3-3
Nov 08 Cardiff… v Treowen… 4-3
Nov 01 Cardiff… v Cambria… 5-2
Oct 25 Cardiff… v Trethom… 3-0
Trefelin 20.0%
Jan 23 Trefelin v Ammanfo… 0-4
Jan 16 Trefelin v Caerau … 1-2
Jan 09 Trefelin v Trethom… 3-1
Dec 30 Trefelin v Afan Li… 0-2
Dec 26 Trefelin v Caerau … 3-0
Dec 13 Trefelin v Bangor … 2-0
Nov 29 Trefelin v Cardiff… 3-3
Nov 14 Trefelin v Carmart… 2-0
Nov 08 Trefelin v Aberyst… 0-2
Nov 01 Trefelin v Pontypr… 2-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 29, 2025 Cardiff Draco… 3-3 Trefelin
Key Factors
Trefelin in strong form (5W in last 5)
Cardiff Draconians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.