FAW Championship · Feb 07, 2026 14:00
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 52
PWR 52
1-2
predicted
Trefelin
PWR 49
PWR 49
27% H
29% D
44% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Trefelin to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense54
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Attack58
Defense47
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Cardiff Dracon… Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Trefelin Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
Cardiff Dra… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Trefelin Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Cardiff Dracon…vs
1.92
TrefelinDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#28
Cardiff Dra…-21
Gap#7
Trefelin
WR 47% 29 pts
WR 43% 98 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconi… | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| Trefelin | 63 | 27 | 17 | 19 | 104 | 96 | 98 |
Cardiff Dracon…
8.0%
| Jan 24 | Cardiff… v Aberyst… | 3-2 |
| Jan 16 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
| Jan 10 | Cardiff… v Cambria… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Cardiff… v Caerau … | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Cardiff… v Llantwi… | 2-0 |
| Dec 10 | Cardiff… v Newport… | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Cardiff… v Trefelin | 3-3 |
| Nov 08 | Cardiff… v Treowen… | 4-3 |
| Nov 01 | Cardiff… v Cambria… | 5-2 |
| Oct 25 | Cardiff… v Trethom… | 3-0 |
Trefelin
20.0%
| Jan 23 | Trefelin v Ammanfo… | 0-4 |
| Jan 16 | Trefelin v Caerau … | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Trefelin v Trethom… | 3-1 |
| Dec 30 | Trefelin v Afan Li… | 0-2 |
| Dec 26 | Trefelin v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Trefelin v Bangor … | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Trefelin v Cardiff… | 3-3 |
| Nov 14 | Trefelin v Carmart… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Trefelin v Aberyst… | 0-2 |
| Nov 01 | Trefelin v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Cardiff Draco… | 3-3 | Trefelin |
Key Factors
Trefelin in strong form (5W in last 5)
Cardiff Draconians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.