AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Nov 09, 2025

Aberdeen

Home
VS
15:00

Motherwell

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Aberdeen Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Motherwell Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.07 - 1.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Aberdeen Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Aberdeen vs AEK Larna… 0-0
Oct 29 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 0-1
Oct 26 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 1-2
Oct 23 Aberdeen vs AEK Athen… 6-0
Oct 18 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 0-1
Oct 05 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 4-0
Oct 02 Aberdeen vs Shakhtar … 2-3
Sep 27 Aberdeen vs Motherwell 2-0
Sep 23 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Sep 20 Aberdeen vs Motherwell 0-1
Motherwell Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 1-4
Oct 29 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Oct 25 Motherwell vs Livingston 1-2
Oct 18 Motherwell vs Falkirk 1-2
Oct 05 Motherwell vs Celtic 3-2
Sep 27 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 2-0
Sep 20 Motherwell vs Aberdeen 0-1
Sep 13 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Aug 30 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 2-2
Aug 23 Motherwell vs Heart of … 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 1 Motherwell League Cup
Mar 29, 2025 Aberdeen 4 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Jan 05, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aberdeen Power 0
Motherwell Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Aberdeen Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Motherwell Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.