AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 23, 2025

Alloa Athletic

Home
VS
14:00

Dumbarton

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Alloa Athletic Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Dumbarton Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.67 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Alloa Athletic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 4-2
Aug 16 Alloa Ath… vs FC UFA 1-1
Aug 16 Alloa Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-2
Aug 12 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 2-1
Aug 12 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 1-0
Aug 10 Alloa Ath… vs Birmingha… 1-4
Aug 09 Alloa Ath… vs East Fife 0-1
Aug 09 Alloa Ath… vs Stirling … 0-0
Aug 06 Alloa Ath… vs Miami FC 2-0
Aug 02 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-2
Dumbarton Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Dumbarton vs Elgin City 1-1
Aug 12 Dumbarton vs St. Mirre… 4-2
Aug 09 Dumbarton vs Spartans 1-2
Aug 02 Dumbarton vs Clyde 2-1
Jul 26 Dumbarton vs Hamilton … 0-1
Jul 23 Dumbarton vs Heart of … 4-0
Jul 19 Dumbarton vs Dunfermli… 0-4
Jul 15 Dumbarton vs Stirling … 1-0
May 03 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 2-1
Apr 26 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dumbarton in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 26, 2025 Dumbarton 3 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Mar 29, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Feb 08, 2025 Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Feb 01, 2025 Dumbarton 1 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 14, 2024 Dumbarton 1 - 5 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Apr 06, 2024 Alloa Athletic 0 - 2 Dumbarton League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Dumbarton Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.