Predictions Match Details
League Two · Sep 13, 2025 14:00

Forfar Athletic
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT

Dumbarton
PWR 35
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Forfar Athletic Form WLLLW
STABLE
Dumbarton Form DLWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS42%
Under 2.544%
Forfar Athl… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Dumbarton Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Forfar Athletic
vs
0.62
Dumbarton
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings59%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Forfar Athl…
+3
Gap
#8
Dumbarton
WR 42% 27 pts WR 27% 23 pts
Forfar Athletic 8.0%
Sep 06 Forfar … v Dundee … 4-1
Aug 30 Forfar … v East Ki… 5-0
Aug 26 Forfar … v Montrose 1-0
Aug 23 Forfar … v Spartans 1-0
Aug 16 Forfar … v Stirlin… 4-2
Aug 12 Forfar … v Hiberni… 1-0
Aug 09 Forfar … v Clyde 0-0
Aug 02 Forfar … v Stranra… 1-0
May 03 Forfar … v Stirlin… 0-0
Feb 15 Forfar … v Stirlin… 3-1
Dumbarton 12.0%
Sep 06 Dumbart… v East Fi… 1-1
Aug 30 Dumbart… v Edinbur… 1-2
Aug 26 Dumbart… v Hearts … 1-0
Aug 23 Dumbart… v Annan A… 3-4
Aug 16 Dumbart… v Elgin C… 1-1
Aug 12 Dumbart… v St. Mir… 4-2
Aug 09 Dumbart… v Spartans 1-2
Aug 02 Dumbart… v Clyde 2-1
Jul 26 Dumbart… v Hamilto… 0-1
Jul 23 Dumbart… v Heart o… 4-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Apr 06, 2024 Forfar Athlet… 0-2 Dumbarton
Feb 10, 2024 Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athlet…
Dec 16, 2023 Forfar Athlet… 2-4 Dumbarton
Aug 19, 2023 Dumbarton 3-1 Forfar Athlet…
Mar 29, 2023 Dumbarton 0-1 Forfar Athlet…
Jan 14, 2023 Forfar Athlet… 2-1 Dumbarton
Nov 19, 2022 Dumbarton 2-2 Forfar Athlet…
Oct 01, 2022 Forfar Athlet… 0-0 Dumbarton
Key Factors
Forfar Athletic struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.