AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Nov 22, 2025

Hamilton Academical

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Hamilton Academical Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Kelty Hearts Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.80 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Hamilton Academical Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 2-1
Nov 11 Hamilton … vs Rangers U… 3-0
Nov 08 Hamilton … vs Peterhead 3-0
Nov 01 Hamilton … vs East Fife 1-1
Oct 24 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 1-2
Oct 18 Hamilton … vs Montrose 0-4
Oct 11 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 1-2
Oct 04 Hamilton … vs Inverness… 3-1
Sep 27 Hamilton … vs Stenhouse… 2-0
Sep 24 Hamilton … vs St. Mirre… 3-1
Kelty Hearts Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 1-1
Nov 11 Kelty Hea… vs Hearts U21 0-1
Nov 08 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 2-2
Nov 01 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 3-0
Oct 25 Kelty Hea… vs East Fife 0-3
Oct 18 Kelty Hea… vs Inverness… 2-2
Oct 11 Kelty Hea… vs St. Mirre… 2-1
Oct 07 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 0-2
Oct 04 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 1-2
Sep 27 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kelty Hearts struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Kelty Hearts 0 - 4 Hamilton Academical League One
Jul 06, 2024 Kelty Hearts 2 - 1 Hamilton Academical Friendlies Clu…
May 04, 2024 Hamilton Academical 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 02, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 5 Hamilton Academical League One
Dec 23, 2023 Hamilton Academical 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Nov 25, 2023 Hamilton Academical 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts FA Cup
Aug 12, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Hamilton Academical League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Hamilton Academical Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.