AI Match Insights

SĂĽper Lig Dec 01, 2025

Fenerbahce

Home
VS
17:00

Galatasaray

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fenerbahce Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Galatasaray Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.18 - 1.14
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fenerbahce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
Galatasaray Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Fenerbahce Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Fenerbahce vs Ferencvár… 1-1
Nov 23 Fenerbahce vs Rizespor 2-5
Nov 09 Fenerbahce vs Kayserisp… 4-2
Nov 06 Fenerbahce vs Plzen 0-0
Nov 02 Fenerbahce vs Besiktas 2-3
Oct 27 Fenerbahce vs Gazişehir… 0-4
Oct 23 Fenerbahce vs VfB Stutt… 1-0
Oct 19 Fenerbahce vs Fatih Kar… 2-1
Oct 05 Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor 0-0
Oct 02 Fenerbahce vs Nice 2-1
Galatasaray Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 Galatasar… vs Union Sai… 0-1
Nov 22 Galatasar… vs Genclerbi… 3-2
Nov 09 Galatasar… vs Kocaelisp… 1-0
Nov 05 Galatasar… vs Ajax 0-3
Nov 01 Galatasar… vs Trabzonsp… 0-0
Oct 26 Galatasar… vs Goztepe 3-1
Oct 22 Galatasar… vs Bodø/Glimt 3-1
Oct 18 Galatasar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Oct 04 Galatasar… vs Besiktas 1-1
Sep 30 Galatasar… vs Liverpool 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fenerbahce in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2025 Fenerbahce 1 - 2 Galatasaray Cup
Feb 24, 2025 Galatasaray 0 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Sep 21, 2024 Fenerbahce 1 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
May 19, 2024 Galatasaray 0 - 1 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Apr 07, 2024 Galatasaray 1 - 0 Fenerbahce Super Cup
Dec 24, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Jun 04, 2023 Galatasaray 3 - 0 Fenerbahce SĂĽper Lig
Jan 08, 2023 Fenerbahce 0 - 3 Galatasaray SĂĽper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fenerbahce to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fenerbahce Power 0
Galatasaray Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Fenerbahce Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Galatasaray Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 78%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.