AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Campionato Nov 22, 2025

Virtus

Home
VS
14:00

Tre Fiori

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tre Fiori Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.93 - 1.44
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Tre Fiori Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Virtus Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Virtus vs Juvenes /… 0-3
Nov 01 Virtus vs San Giova… 2-0
Oct 26 Virtus vs Faetano 2-1
Oct 18 Virtus vs Fiorentino 0-4
Oct 04 Virtus vs San Marin… 0-2
Sep 28 Virtus vs Cosmos 2-0
Sep 19 Virtus vs Pennarossa 0-3
Sep 12 Virtus vs Folgore 2-1
Aug 31 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-2
Aug 28 Virtus vs Breidablik 1-3
Tre Fiori Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Tre Fiori vs Cailungo 1-4
Nov 01 Tre Fiori vs Fiorentino 2-0
Oct 24 Tre Fiori vs Tre Penne 0-0
Oct 21 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 3-0
Oct 17 Tre Fiori vs Folgore 2-1
Oct 05 Tre Fiori vs Domagnano 0-1
Sep 27 Tre Fiori vs San Marin… 1-3
Sep 24 Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa 1-1
Sep 21 Tre Fiori vs Juvenes /… 1-0
Sep 14 Tre Fiori vs San Giova… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Tre Fiori in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 24, 2025 Virtus 1 - 0 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Apr 19, 2025 Virtus 1 - 1 Tre Fiori Campionato
Dec 21, 2024 Tre Fiori 0 - 2 Virtus Campionato
Apr 03, 2024 Tre Fiori 0 - 2 Virtus Coppa Titano
Mar 06, 2024 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Jan 20, 2024 Virtus 1 - 0 Tre Fiori Campionato
Sep 16, 2023 Tre Fiori 0 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Jan 29, 2023 Tre Fiori 1 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Dec 14, 2022 Virtus 3 - 1 Tre Fiori Coppa Titano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
Tre Fiori Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Virtus Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Tre Fiori Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.