AI Match Insights

Premier Soccer League Nov 01, 2025

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Home
VS
13:30

Orlando Pirates

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Orlando Pirates Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.05 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Orlando Pirates Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Mamelodi … vs Remo Stars 2-0
Oct 19 Mamelodi … vs Remo Stars 1-5
Oct 04 Mamelodi … vs Marumo Ga… 0-0
Sep 27 Mamelodi … vs Richards … 4-1
Sep 24 Mamelodi … vs Golden Ar… 1-0
Sep 20 Mamelodi … vs Durban Ci… 3-1
Sep 17 Mamelodi … vs Marumo Ga… 1-1
Sep 14 Mamelodi … vs Magesi 3-0
Aug 30 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 0-1
Aug 27 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 0-0
Orlando Pirates Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Orlando P… vs Magesi 2-1
Oct 25 Orlando P… vs Saint Elo… 3-0
Oct 22 Orlando P… vs Polokwane… 1-0
Oct 19 Orlando P… vs Saint Elo… 3-0
Oct 04 Orlando P… vs Siwelele 1-0
Sep 30 Orlando P… vs TS Galaxy 2-0
Sep 27 Orlando P… vs Lioli 4-0
Sep 23 Orlando P… vs Siwelele 0-1
Sep 20 Orlando P… vs Lioli 0-3
Aug 31 Orlando P… vs Chippa Un… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Orlando Pirates in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates 8 Cup
Aug 16, 2025 Orlando Pirates 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 8 Cup
Mar 16, 2025 Orlando Pirates 2 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Feb 08, 2025 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 4 - 1 Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer…
Jun 01, 2024 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 1 - 2 Orlando Pirates Cup
Feb 17, 2024 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates Premier Soccer…
Oct 07, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns FC 8 Cup
Sep 20, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Feb 04, 2023 Orlando Pirates 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns FC Premier Soccer…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Power 0
Orlando Pirates Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Orlando Pirates Position

Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 63%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.