Liga Alef · Sep 27, 2025 18:00

Hapoel Beer Sheva
PWR 30
1 - 1
FT
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense30
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Beer Sh… Form WLWDL
STABLE
Hapoel Bnei Mu… Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.572%
BTTS73%
Under 2.528%
Hapoel Beer… Goals
0
3%
1
11%
2
18%
3
22%
4
19%
Hapoel Bnei… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.51
Hapoel Beer Sh…
vs
1.39
Hapoel Bnei Mu…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#34
Hapoel Beer…
-16
Gap
#18
Hapoel Bnei…
WR 17% 10 pts WR 35% 37 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Hapoel Beer She…12246142410
Hapoel Bnei Mus…269107384037
Hapoel Beer Sh… 10.0%
Sep 21 Hapoel … v Bnei Sa… 3-1
Sep 21 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-2
Sep 14 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 1-5
Sep 12 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-2
Sep 05 Hapoel … v Tzeirey… 1-4
Aug 30 Hapoel … v Ironi T… 7-0
Aug 24 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-4
Aug 16 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 0-2
Jul 31 Hapoel … v AEK Ath… 0-0
Jul 24 Hapoel … v AEK Ath… 1-0
Hapoel Bnei Mu… 4.0%
Sep 13 Hapoel … v Tzeirey… 3-2
Sep 05 Hapoel … v Ironi N… 1-1
Feb 21 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 3-3
Jan 25 Hapoel … v Tzeirei… 3-2
Jan 17 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 3-1
Jan 10 Hapoel … v Ironi N… 1-0
Dec 27 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 4-2
Dec 24 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 0-0
Dec 10 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-1
Nov 22 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 2-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 21, 2025 Hapoel Bnei M… 3-3 Hapoel Beer S…
Nov 22, 2024 Hapoel Beer S… 2-2 Hapoel Bnei M…
Key Factors
Hapoel Bnei Musmus struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.