AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 30, 2025

FC Winterthur

Home
VS
16:00

FC Zurich

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FC Winterthur Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
FC Zurich Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.63 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Winterthur Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
FC Zurich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
FC Winterthur Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 FC Winter… vs Grasshopp… 2-2
Aug 16 FC Winter… vs FC Schaff… 0-5
Aug 09 FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… 5-0
Aug 02 FC Winter… vs BSC Young… 1-1
Jul 27 FC Winter… vs Lausanne 3-2
May 22 FC Winter… vs FC Sion 2-0
May 17 FC Winter… vs Yverdon S… 2-2
May 13 FC Winter… vs FC Zurich 4-1
May 10 FC Winter… vs FC St. Ga… 1-4
May 03 FC Winter… vs Grasshopp… 2-0
FC Zurich Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 FC Zurich vs FC Thun 0-4
Aug 10 FC Zurich vs Lausanne 1-2
Aug 03 FC Zurich vs FC Luzern 1-1
Jul 25 FC Zurich vs FC Sion 2-3
May 22 FC Zurich vs Yverdon S… 3-2
May 17 FC Zurich vs FC St. Ga… 3-2
May 13 FC Zurich vs FC Winter… 4-1
May 10 FC Zurich vs Grasshopp… 3-0
May 04 FC Zurich vs FC Sion 2-1
Apr 21 FC Zurich vs BSC Young… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Zurich struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 13, 2025 FC Zurich 4 - 1 FC Winterthur Super League
Apr 05, 2025 FC Winterthur 0 - 0 FC Zurich Super League
Feb 06, 2025 FC Winterthur 0 - 2 FC Zurich Super League
Jul 28, 2024 FC Zurich 4 - 2 FC Winterthur Super League
May 12, 2024 FC Winterthur 1 - 3 FC Zurich Super League
Apr 03, 2024 FC Zurich 0 - 0 FC Winterthur Super League
Feb 28, 2024 FC Zurich 0 - 2 FC Winterthur Schweizer Pokal
Dec 13, 2023 FC Winterthur 2 - 1 FC Zurich Super League
Oct 07, 2023 FC Zurich 3 - 2 FC Winterthur Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Winterthur Power 0
FC Zurich Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

FC Winterthur Position

-3

Position Gap

9

FC Zurich Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.