Ligue 1 · Nov 30, 2025 19:45
Lyon
PWR 42
Nantes
PWR 26
Lyon
PWR 42
3 - 0
FT
Nantes
PWR 26
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Lyon Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack29
Defense46
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.8
Lyon Form
WDLLD
STABLE
Nantes Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS53%
Under 2.548%
Lyon Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Nantes Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lyonvs
0.99
NantesDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lyon+13
Gap#16
Nantes
WR 80% 42 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Lyon
8.0%
| Nov 27 | Lyon v Maccabi… | 0-6 |
| Nov 23 | Lyon v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Lyon v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Nov 06 | Lyon v Real Be… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Lyon v Stade B… | 0-0 |
| Oct 29 | Lyon v Paris FC | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | Lyon v FC Base… | 2-0 |
| Oct 18 | Lyon v Nice | 3-2 |
| Oct 05 | Lyon v Toulouse | 1-2 |
Nantes
8.0%
| Nov 23 | Nantes v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Nantes v LE Havr… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Nantes v Metz | 0-2 |
| Oct 29 | Nantes v Monaco | 3-5 |
| Oct 24 | Nantes v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Nantes v Lille | 0-2 |
| Oct 04 | Nantes v Stade B… | 0-0 |
| Sep 27 | Nantes v Toulouse | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Nantes v Rennes … | 2-2 |
| Sep 13 | Nantes v Nice | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 26, 2025 | Nantes | 1-1 | Lyon |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Lyon | 2-0 | Nantes |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Lyon | 2-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Nantes | 1-3 | Lyon |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Lyon | 1-0 | Nantes |
| Apr 05, 2023 | Nantes | 1-0 | Lyon |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Lyon | 1-1 | Nantes |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nantes | 0-0 | Lyon |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.