AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 08, 2025

Deportes Tolima

Home
VS
01:20

Llaneros

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Deportes Tolima Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Llaneros Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 5%
xG: 4.50 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportes Tolima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Llaneros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Deportes Tolima Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Deportes … vs Union Mag… 0-2
Oct 25 Deportes … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Oct 20 Deportes … vs La Equida… 0-2
Oct 11 Deportes … vs Envigado 1-2
Oct 05 Deportes … vs Junior 0-1
Sep 27 Deportes … vs Independi… 2-3
Sep 19 Deportes … vs Bucaraman… 2-0
Sep 15 Deportes … vs Chico 4-0
Sep 06 Deportes … vs Llaneros 1-0
Aug 31 Deportes … vs Fortaleza… 1-1
Llaneros Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 31 Llaneros vs Atlético … 0-3
Oct 25 Llaneros vs Bucaraman… 2-0
Oct 19 Llaneros vs Once Cald… 2-0
Oct 12 Llaneros vs Santa Fe 1-3
Oct 04 Llaneros vs Fortaleza… 0-0
Sep 27 Llaneros vs Alianza P… 3-1
Sep 20 Llaneros vs Rionegro … 0-1
Sep 14 Llaneros vs Deportivo… 0-0
Sep 06 Llaneros vs Deportes … 1-0
Aug 29 Llaneros vs Junior 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportes Tolima in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 06, 2025 Llaneros 1 - 0 Deportes Tolima Primera A
May 19, 2025 Llaneros 1 - 3 Deportes Tolima Primera A
Mar 24, 2025 Deportes Tolima 1 - 0 Llaneros Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportes Tolima to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportes Tolima Power 0
Llaneros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Deportes Tolima Position

+5

Position Gap

8

Llaneros Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.