Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Aug 09, 2025 18:00
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Club Nacional
PWR 62
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
3 - 0
FT
Club Nacional
PWR 62
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
1-3 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 6%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Peñarol Montev… Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Club Nacional Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS65%
Under 2.534%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Peñarol Montev…vs
2.31
Club NacionalDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+1
Gap#2
Club Nacion…
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 54% 71 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Club Nacional | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 63 | 31 | 71 |
Peñarol Montev…
10.0%
| Aug 03 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Aug 01 | Peñarol… v Progreso | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Mar 12 | Peñarol… v Inter C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Peñarol… v Jeuness… | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Peñarol… v Étoile … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 1-3 |
Club Nacional
20.0%
| Aug 02 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 5-2 |
| Jun 08 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Club Na… v Cerro L… | 0-4 |
| Feb 22 | Club Na… v Boston … | 2-3 |
| Feb 16 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-5 |
| Dec 06 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Club Na… v Boston … | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Club Na… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 04, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Club Nacional | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 06, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Club Nacional |
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.