AI Match Insights

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Primera División - Clausura Sep 07, 2025

Atletico Torque

Home
VS
23:30

Peñarol Montevideo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atletico Torque Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Peñarol Montevideo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.26 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Atletico Torque Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Peñarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Atletico Torque Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Atletico … vs Plaza Col… 2-4
Aug 24 Atletico … vs Racing Cl… 4-0
Aug 17 Atletico … vs River Pla… 0-2
Aug 08 Atletico … vs Boston Ri… 1-1
Aug 02 Atletico … vs Club Naci… 5-2
May 17 Atletico … vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Mar 25 Atletico … vs Cerro Lar… 1-1
Nov 26 Atletico … vs Uruguay M… 1-3
Nov 23 Atletico … vs Club Naci… 4-0
Nov 19 Atletico … vs Uruguay M… 0-0
Peñarol Montevideo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Peñarol M… vs Plaza Col… 1-0
Aug 31 Peñarol M… vs Racing Cl… 1-4
Aug 30 Peñarol M… vs Defensor … 2-0
Aug 24 Peñarol M… vs River Pla… 2-0
Aug 24 Peñarol M… vs Cerrito 2-1
Aug 16 Peñarol M… vs Rangers FC 2-1
Aug 15 Peñarol M… vs Boston Ri… 2-1
Aug 10 Peñarol M… vs Miramar 0-1
Aug 09 Peñarol M… vs Club Naci… 3-0
Aug 03 Peñarol M… vs Danubio 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atletico Torque in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2025 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Apr 17, 2024 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 3 Atletico Torque Copa Uruguay
Oct 18, 2023 Atletico Torque 2 - 3 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Jul 03, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 0 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Mar 12, 2023 Peñarol Montevideo 2 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Sep 24, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 0 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Jun 12, 2022 Peñarol Montevideo 1 - 2 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Apr 23, 2022 Atletico Torque 0 - 1 Peñarol Montevideo Primera Divisi…
Oct 20, 2021 Peñarol Montevideo 3 - 1 Atletico Torque Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atletico Torque to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atletico Torque Power 0
Peñarol Montevideo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.