Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Oct 05, 2025 18:30

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 49

Plaza Colonia
PWR 27

Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 49
0 - 1
FT

Plaza Colonia
PWR 27
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Racing Club de Montevideo to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (19%)
0-0 (18%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.0% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack37
Defense65
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack22
Defense43
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.6
Racing Club de… Form
WDWDL
STABLE
Plaza Colonia Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS18%
Under 2.576%
Racing Club… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Plaza Colon… Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Racing Club de…vs
0.26
Plaza ColoniaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Racing Club…+12
Gap#16
Plaza Colon…
WR 43% 48 pts
WR 14% 14 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de … | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 48 |
| Plaza Colonia | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 34 | 14 |
Racing Club de…
12.0%
| Oct 03 | Racing … v Miramar | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Racing … v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Racing … v River P… | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Racing … v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 1-4 |
| Aug 24 | Racing … v Atletic… | 4-0 |
| Aug 17 | Racing … v Defenso… | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Racing … v Cerrito | 1-2 |
| Aug 03 | Racing … v Rangers… | 1-0 |
Plaza Colonia
2.0%
| Sep 28 | Plaza C… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Plaza C… v Boston … | 6-1 |
| Sep 14 | Plaza C… v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Plaza C… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Plaza C… v Atletic… | 2-4 |
| Aug 23 | Plaza C… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Plaza C… v Cerrito | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Plaza C… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Aug 03 | Plaza C… v Miramar | 1-3 |
| Jun 23 | Plaza C… v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 28, 2023 | Plaza Colonia | 0-1 | Racing Club d… |
Key Factors
Plaza Colonia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.