Primera División - Clausura · Oct 06, 2025 22:00

Defensor Sporting
PWR 45
2 - 1
FT

Wanderers
PWR 0
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Defensor Sporting to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense63
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Defensor Sport… Form WDWLW
STABLE
Wanderers Form DDDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS17%
Under 2.546%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Wanderers Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Defensor Sport…
vs
0.20
Wanderers
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Defensor Sport… 14.0%
Oct 02 Defenso… v Central… 2-0
Sep 29 Defenso… v Miramar 0-0
Sep 19 Defenso… v Danubio 2-1
Sep 13 Defenso… v Cerro L… 1-0
Sep 05 Defenso… v Juventud 1-0
Aug 30 Defenso… v Peñarol… 2-0
Aug 23 Defenso… v Plaza C… 1-0
Aug 17 Defenso… v Racing … 0-1
Aug 11 Defenso… v River P… 1-0
Aug 02 Defenso… v Boston … 4-0
Wanderers 10.0%
Jun 17 Wandere… v Defenso… 0-0
Apr 07 Wandere… v Defenso… 0-0
Nov 04 Wandere… v Defenso… 1-1
Jul 07 Wandere… v Defenso… 1-1
Apr 28 Wandere… v Defenso… 2-2
Aug 25 Wandere… v Defenso… 3-0
Jun 18 Wandere… v Defenso… 2-0
Feb 13 Wandere… v Defenso… 1-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Jun 17, 2025 Wanderers 0-0 Defensor Spor…
Apr 07, 2025 Wanderers 0-0 Defensor Spor…
Nov 04, 2024 Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Spor…
Jul 07, 2024 Defensor Spor… 1-1 Wanderers
Apr 28, 2024 Defensor Spor… 2-2 Wanderers
Aug 25, 2023 Defensor Spor… 3-0 Wanderers
Jun 18, 2023 Defensor Spor… 2-0 Wanderers
Feb 13, 2023 Wanderers 1-1 Defensor Spor…
Key Factors
Defensor Sporting in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.