AI Match Insights

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Division Profesional - Clausura Jul 20, 2025

Cerro Porteño

Home
VS
19:00

Sportivo Luqueño

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Cerro Porteño Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Sportivo Luqueño Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.23 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cerro Porteño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Sportivo Luqueño Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Cerro Porteño Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 12 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 0-1
Jul 05 Cerro Por… vs General C… 3-1
May 31 Cerro Por… vs Atlético … 1-6
May 24 Cerro Por… vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Apr 12 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 0-0
Apr 05 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 1-0
Mar 28 Cerro Por… vs Atlético … 1-0
Mar 23 Cerro Por… vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Jan 29 Cerro Por… vs Sportivo … 1-1
Jan 26 Cerro Por… vs Libertad … 2-2
Sportivo Luqueño Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 11 Sportivo … vs General C… 2-0
Jul 05 Sportivo … vs Libertad … 0-1
Jun 02 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 0-0
May 24 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 2-1
May 17 Sportivo … vs Nacional … 4-0
May 02 Sportivo … vs 2 de Mayo 1-1
Apr 19 Sportivo … vs Olimpia 3-1
Apr 12 Sportivo … vs Cerro Por… 0-0
Mar 29 Sportivo … vs Sportivo … 2-2
Mar 22 Sportivo … vs Club Guar… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cerro Porteño in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Cerro Porteño 0 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Jan 29, 2025 Sportivo Luqueño 1 - 1 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Oct 05, 2024 Sportivo Luqueño 1 - 0 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Aug 04, 2024 Cerro Porteño 4 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Jun 02, 2024 Cerro Porteño 0 - 2 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Mar 14, 2024 Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 1 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Nov 03, 2023 Cerro Porteño 2 - 0 Sportivo Luqueño Division Profe…
Aug 20, 2023 Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 2 Cerro Porteño Division Profe…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cerro Porteño to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cerro Porteño Power 0
Sportivo Luqueño Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.